Monday, October 17, 2011

What You'll Pay, Where You Play

Let's face it, in an attempt to bring fantasy baseball to the masses, online fantasy baseball leagues had to present information to help keep the casual gamer fantasy of being lost. Therefore, each project online program has a number next to each player as a draft average position, average value of the auction, and plans stats.Inevitably, these numbers are self-fulfilling, as team manager used these numbers look to the face to make decisions as the countdown. This creates a new variable that each manager must be aware of of.For example, if the composition window, says Carl Pavano is the best player on the left and the team needs a pitcher of nine, what are the chances of Pavano receives an extra long look? We call this value the place. Even a fantasy manager who is well prepared with your own research can be taken over this trap.Remember that the values ​​used are based on the league settings by default for the particular site, but you can still use the relative value players, no matter what the configuration of the league may be.The ESPN.com standard league is 25 players and teams have $ 260 for the Crawford auction.Carl average value of $ 39Average 4.2There draft is doubt that Crawford is a great fantasy player and probably the first selection round in most league formats, but it is the third-best player overall and their current statistics suggest that the wording of ESPN? ESPN projections, basically, we have doubled production last year of the best race, which is probably a bit more optimistic, as most of the projection systems will show regression of some of their mid-career statistics. However, even if it reaches 20 homers and 100 RsBI is worth 15% of its budget or is it a case of wrong place value? The answer is the latter, especially rich and deep talent of the owners are paying for position.Crawford Delmon Young (AV ESPN $ 10) with 40 steals more. In an ESPN league, which runs about $ 0.75 per additional steal, almost three times the marginal value we give to rob an outfield position in the formulation of the value of U rankings.Instead, what about Matt Holliday orientation (ESPN AV $ 29) and Elvis Andrus (AV ESPN $ 10)? Crawford steals Replacing the SS position does not represent a huge opportunity cost Holliday undoubtedly contributes better to have your team.In statistics drafting any league, the calculation is a little different since you only have a first- round and you have to go to someone. But if you have an early peak of the first round will not take over until the 20's in a league of twelve teams. That means you've probably lost a chance to get the best player at any position unless you are unfortunate to break the ice in the closers.Its not a bad choice to get Crawford in the first round, but do not feel like you have established a competitive advantage online If you aim either.Bottom Crawford on ESPN be willing to pay through the nose in an auction and do not wait beyond the fist five teams in a project. Johnson Josh Project Value $ SPAverage 14Average Choose 65Granted, most value comes from a starting pitcher wins are notoriously difficult to predict. ESPN believes that Johnson is only good for 12 wins this year, probably in part due to injury problems. However, there have been signs of a bad back and shoulder in the preseason and probably relatively young Johnson is preparing for the difficult task of trying to win a Cy Young Award team.Doesn t mediocre "sounding much like Felix Hernandez (AV ESPN $ 30)? What is the marginal value of going with Hernandez in his place? We see it as about 30 more entries in the era of quality and the whip and 30 more in K. What do you think is happening in the bidding war, King Felix and objectives instead of Johnson and Mat Latos (ESPN AV $ 13)? Best case is that both Johnson and King Felix Latos challenge for the Cy Young, but they are also protected in case one of them goes through injury. Because the starting pitching is the most unpredictable position for fantasy stats and the position most likely to be devastated by injuries, it is better to have a quality set of arms instead of banking on the performance of an elite starter . In a project setting, U has always stood waiting for starting pitching. In an ESPN league administrators can see about Johnson in the sixth assault, even with 12 teams drafting. While Johnson is not a dominant # 1 starter on your computer, you can hold this place if you add a strong # 2 starter.Also, do not forget that you have been busy accumulating points with the elite hitters in the first five rounds, so his selection is likely to keep Johnson out of some crazy run 2B Richie Weeks involving (ESPN ADP 69) and Martin Prado (ESPN ADP 74). Bottom Line-Spend the money collected and the project in the first offense, knowing that Johnson probably will be there when you need it.

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